College Football Betting - Trends and Rivalry Games

In college they have trends and in the pros they have trends. There is one difference between the two though: NCAA teams stay truer to trends than the pros. If a team is 1-11 against the spread (ATS) on the first Saturday in October, most of the time that trend holds true. It's funny sometimes because it's like both teams know that trend and it turns out to be a massacre on a Saturday morning. The scary part is that there are trends on anything and everything! First Saturdays, last Saturdays, morning games, night games, afternoon games, temperature trends, color trends, if the quarterback or running back had so many yards the game before trends, you name it, they have a trend for it?and the real scary part is a lot of times they hold true. In the college ranks, studying the trends is a great way to bet.

Rivalry games play a huge part in a point spread. A lot of times the teams are of equal talent and other times one team is really good and the other is rather crappy. But if it's a rivalry game, the point spreads are usually pretty low no matter how good or bad the teams are. A quick example: In 1996, when Jake "The Snake" Plummer was playing for Arizona State and had that great team, they played their rival Arizona at Arizona. At the time, Arizona State was ranked in the top 3 while Arizona was struggling to win 5 games.

I was figuring the point spread to be in the minus 20's for Arizona State. My mouth dropped when I saw the opening line: Arizona State -7. I said to myself that can't be right but in fact it was. I thought to myself, even being alumni of the University of Arizona, this was a no brainer bet, Arizona State all the way. Arizona State had a chance to be National Champs and even though Arizona was their rival it should be a blowout. For the first half, it was a close game; I actually believe it was tied at halftime. But in the end Arizona St. did blow them out 56-14.

A minus 7-point spread just shows how big a rivalry game is to a point spread. If you look at the rest of the games in that series since that 1996 game, not one game is decided by more than 10 points! Rivalry games usually stay rather close. Look at Florida/Tennessee, those games are usually real close and those point spreads are just as close. Be careful with rivalry games, even though a team is much better than the other, doesn't mean a for sure victory.

Leo Mendelsohn
Thehooks
http://www.thehooksfootballpicks.com
Guaranteed NFL and College football picks with the best price/guarantee combination in the business. Free football picks every week from Thehooks Book Ezine, which is free to join. Thehooks is your one stop source for college football and NFL information.

In The News:


pen paper and inkwell


cat break through


World Series of Poker Tournament Circuit

On October 25, 2004 Harrah's announced the creation of the... Read More

Are You Addicted To Gambling?

Most people know the answer to this question. You don't... Read More

Do You Know the Best and Worst Roulette Bets?

Do You Know the Best and Worst Roulette Bets?The outcome... Read More

Gambling Addiction 101

A lot many of us know something or the other... Read More

How To Extend Your Stay & Play At A Casino

How To Extend Your Stay & Play At A Casino... Read More

Gender Differences in Gambling

Being a fairly regular gambler, I have noticed a few... Read More

The Adventure for Poker Gold

From the drama TILT made by ESPN to the deal... Read More

Gambling Stories 101

A win at a gambling table can be fun narrating.... Read More

Women Increasingly Prefer Online Poker

As poker continues to gain more and more mainstream acceptance,... Read More

Basic Jacks or Better Video Poker Strategy

Video Poker is a game of skill - and using... Read More

YOUR Advantage With Online Poker Table Notes

The importance of taking notes on your opponents can't be... Read More

Introduction to Texas Holdem Strategy ? 3 Concepts

Concept #1 ? Pot OddsLong-term profits in holdem come from... Read More

How To Choose A Reputable Online Casino

With literally thousands of online casinos on the internet, it... Read More

Online Roulette ? A Brief History

The term "Roulette" is French and in essence it means... Read More

MTT Poker Win Frequency

Multi Table Tournaments (MTT) are currently very popular due in... Read More

Virtual Casino Online

What is a "virtual casino online"? This is a term... Read More

The Secret of Grinding Out a Profit

Pssst...Wanna know a secret?How about the secrets of grinding out... Read More

Casino Business Opportunity

There are really two main options to owning a casino... Read More

Texas Holdem Tournament Strategy - Sit and Go Poker Tournaments

Welcome to the fourth in my Texas Holdem Strategy Series,... Read More

Sports Betting and Money Management

Your bankroll must be protected at all costs, a good... Read More

Halftime Wagering Part 1 - Hedging Your Bet:

Halftime wagering is done exactly how it sounds...at halftime. If... Read More

Money Management

Your bankroll must be protected at all costs, a good... Read More

Do You Want to Discover the Three Hidden Secrets of the Poker Playing Professional?

What's the difference between an amateur and a professional when... Read More

How to Win Free Online Poker Games

Online poker is very popular, but not everybody plays for... Read More

Las Vegas Dining and Drinks as Cheap as it Gets

Las Vegas, my favorite destination doesn't have to cost a... Read More

Gambling On the Internet is Fun That Will Pay Off

Gambling is something that millions of people enjoy for entertainment.... Read More

How To Have The Most Fun Playing Holdem Poker At Home

Holdem poker is taking the country by storm as one... Read More

2005 NFC East Football Preview

OVERVIEW: NFC EASTThe Eagles once again appear to be the... Read More

Is Advertising Online Gambling Illegal in the State of Washington?

I wished to create a website to advertise Online Gambling... Read More

2005 World Series of Poker -- Mid Tournament Report

The 2005 World Series of Poker started its 36th year... Read More

The Secrets of Basic Craps Tournaments

Pssst...! Wanna know a secret?How about the secrets of basic... Read More

Offshore Sportsbook

Offshore sportsbooks are also the result of many regulations the... Read More

TOP 10 Biggest Betting-Gambling Mistakes

Our aim here is to highlight these common areas of... Read More