I was recently interviewed for a press release through a financial question and answer format. One of the questions asked of me in the interview was:
Where do you think the stock market is headed over the next five years?
My Answer!
Charles M. O'Melia: No one knows! There is an old Chinese proverb that goes something like this: "He, who could foresee events 3 days in advance, would be rich for thousands of years." On a long-term basis I have only witnessed expansion and progress. I believe that to be the nature of our American economy and our American way of life. And as our economy goes, so goes the stock market and I see no reason to change that belief.
Who would have thought the expansion in China would generate 5 billion dollars of business for GE? The US companies listed on the New York stock exchange have the ability to profit throughout the global expansion of business around the world. And, an investor can profit without the necessity of having to own an overseas fund or companies to profit.
Up until that question, the thought of what the market was going to do tomorrow (or for that matter, 5 years from now) have never concerned me. I never gave it a thought (Well, maybe a little!). There just isn't enough concern on my part whether we are heading for a bear market or a bull market, or if the markets are heading sideways.
When you own a portfolio filled with companies that have a history of raising their dividend every year, and a systematic approach of adding more shares to the portfolio through the dividend reinvestments every quarter, plus having a simple savings plan with an opportunistic buying approach of adding even more shares to the portfolio every quarter, it really doesn't matter. I am always buying more shares.
Sometimes I pay too much for one of my companies; sometimes I receive a great bargain. But no matter which, bargain or expensive, my income from those companies always continues to grow and grow and grow and grow and grow.
Sometimes, the dividend yield of one stock may be 5.15%, and the following year or two (even with two dividend increases during those two years) the dividend yield would drop to less than 3%. This, for example, may mean the stock price would have risen from the 30 dollar range to the 60 dollar range. I have found that when that 5.15% dividend yield drops to around 1%, the company's stock in question becomes so high that the company usually has a stock split, as well as a dividend increase.
Right now, the DOW seems to be having trouble breaking that 11,000 barrier. And, right now, I can't help thinking back, way, way, back.
For those of you who don't remember the late 1960's, early 70's, the DOW barrier was 1,000.
Oh, what a tough time that DOW 1,000 barrier was! I remember thinking ? it's going to break it this time. Back in 1966 was the first attempt (rose to 985) and it kept on trying to break the 1,000 barrier for the next 6 years. When it finally broke 1,000 (it reached 1,050 or so, in 1972), it immediately fell back. It took another 10 years before the DOW broke the 1,100 barrier. Six years for the DOW at 985 to break 1,000. Another 10 years to break 1,100. A total of 16 years to add a mere 115 points on the DOW.
So, is the 11,000 barrier in the DOW today similar to the 1100 barrier of times-gone-by? Will 11,000 on the DOW become a 16 year barrier? Could be! Then again, maybe not! I don't know! "He, who could foresee events etc."
In the meantime, I will continue watching my dividend income continue to grow and grow and grow and grow and grow!
To find the LINK for the complete financial interview visit: http://www.thestockopolyplan.com
You have permission to this article either electronically or in print as long as the author bylines are included, with a live link and the article is not changed in any way. Please provide a courtesy emailto: charles@thestockopolyplan.com telling where the article was published. (Word Count 706)
Charles M. O'Melia is an individual investor with almost 40 years of experience and passion for the stock market. The author of the book 'The Stockopoly Plan ? Investing for Retirement'; published by American-Book Publishing. The book can be purchased at http://www.pdbookstore.com/com files/pages/CharlesMOMelia.shtml
![]() |
|
![]() |
|
![]() |
|
![]() |
We learnt the following the hard way! If any of... Read More
I mean it when I say that. While plastic silverware... Read More
You read and hear a lot about hedge funds. Unfortunately,... Read More
When it comes to 401k's there is an overabundance of... Read More
Quick, look out the window. It's raining. No, the sun's... Read More
Peter is a professional trader, Paul is not. Peter has... Read More
Since I can remember, and that's a long time ago,... Read More
Now where have I heard that before? I know. It... Read More
If it walks like a duck, quacks like a duck... Read More
With over 6,000 mutual funds available, it may be tempting... Read More
There are so many kinds of work that needs to... Read More
When it comes to stock market trading it PAYS to... Read More
If you haven't heard of the technical indicator with the... Read More
Stock trading can be a very profitable activity. You can... Read More
The Surgeon General of the United States says that smoking... Read More
I have been trading for several decades and was an... Read More
Both the stock market and oil prices rallied recently, which... Read More
One of the big advertising kicks today from mutual funds... Read More
The debate rages all over Eastern and Central Europe, in... Read More
One of the most believed bits of conventional wisdom from... Read More
THERE'S SOMETHING TO BE SAID FOR standing firm in the... Read More
Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) are a group of passive index... Read More
Alfred Winslow Jones started hedge funds in 1949. He was... Read More
I was recently interviewed for a press release through a... Read More
Mutual funds were moderately successful in creating a presence in... Read More
Economists know more about how the fragments of society work... Read More
This is a guide to the different types of mutual... Read More
Let's assume that you want to make some serious money... Read More
Regardless of the fact that the world's stock markets have... Read More
During our travel down life's path we come to many... Read More
Ever notice how behavior in one area of life can... Read More
If you are going to be a winner in the... Read More
In 1960 an engineer working for a watch company in... Read More
If you go to Haiti or other places in the... Read More
Stock investment advice is easy to find. Do you get... Read More
We are already in it, but you can't see it.... Read More
There is nothing more exciting than finding an undervalued stock... Read More
Every day on CNBC-TV they show a 200-day moving average... Read More
Every broker and financial planner will tell you that you... Read More
Ever notice how behavior in one area of life can... Read More
Time to look back2004 is over, now we are in... Read More
The Surgeon General of the United States says that smoking... Read More
Last time we looked at the real performance of the... Read More
For years investors have been taught to look into the... Read More
Outlined below are some of the advantages and disadvantages of... Read More
How many times has this happened to you? You're at... Read More
There are red lights, green lights, blue lights and spot... Read More
After finding the price of a particular stock, usually the... Read More
If you are going to be a winner in the... Read More
Wouldn't it be nice if you were only in the... Read More
On Monday, November 25, 2000 Investor's Business Daily listed on... Read More
When it comes to stock market trading it PAYS to... Read More
Having lived aboard a sailboat for 2 years I was... Read More
Is really not as important as to how you invest... Read More
How many times have you said to yourself, "I'd like... Read More
I continually hear from economists, talking heads, other market letter... Read More
The gleam and bright lights of Wall Street lure in... Read More
The bear market that showed up at the end of... Read More
I have a 2-car garage. There are nice shelves on... Read More
Options trading can increase the profits you make when trading... Read More
Before we get into all the good news out there,... Read More
A 'stock option' is a contract between two parties giving... Read More
We need a rabbit!This was a pretty horrible week for... Read More
There are major differences between trading stocks and trading futures.... Read More
Every day in any financial publication you will find the... Read More
You read and hear a lot about hedge funds. Unfortunately,... Read More
Stocks & Mutual Fund |