Stock market trading is a fascinating activity.
There are so many layers to it. And so many paths that you can go down.
Soon after we first got interested in the stock market I became captivated by technical analysis. I finally felt that I was in control. It gave me great confidence to have all these tools to use.
We bought some expensive charting software and I started playing with the hundreds of indicators that it contained. Exotic sounding devices with impossible to understand mathematical formulas.
So, armed with all these new tools, I was sure we would be making a killing in no time. Because now we had science on our side!
And so I spent night after night, weekend after weekend trying to understand them. Backtesting. Trying one and then another.
But still we struggled to pick the winning trades.
I can remember buying this add-on to our software that gave us even more indicators. And I was convinced this would finally make the difference.
So I tried yet more indicators. Using different settings and different combinations.
But success still eluded us.
And it took us quite a long time before we understood why.
But before I explain what we discovered, let me tell you about eating bitumen.
My office is close to home. So some years ago I decided it was silly for us to have a second car. And so I traded it in and bought a scooter.
Now the only real problem with scooters or motor bikes [apart from getting wet in the rain] is that you are fairly likely to get hit by a car at some point!
It just stands to reason.
So I am always careful to watch cars to see which way they indicate they are going to turn or whether they are stopping.
But this one day I was in a bit of a hurry.
And as I approached an intersection a car was parked at the stop sign on my right. I was going straight through and the driver was indicating to turn left.
[At this point I should remind some of our overseas friends that we drive on the left side of the road!]
So I knew it was OK for me to keep going straight through the intersection. Or so I thought!
Next minute I am slamming on my brakes as the car accelerates across the street immediately in front of me. As my scooter hits the fender I go flying across the front of the car and land on the pavement on the opposite side.
For anyone who has experienced such an event you will know what I mean when I say that it was like the whole thing happened in slow motion. Quite weird!
I can remember looking at the car as it headed for me and not believing that this was really happening.
Because I was convinced it was going to turn left. The driver had indicated that he was turning so what was he doing on my side of the road?
But there he was. I couldn't believe my eyes but eating bitumen convinced me that this was indeed reality!
Ever since, I don't trust car indicators. Instead I have learned to look at the front wheels. Because this is the true indication of which way the car is actually going to go.
And you can't rely on looking at the driver, even if you can see them. Because they often don't seem to know where they are going, either!
But the wheels don't lie!
The car can only go in the direction they are pointed.
Now what on earth has this got to do with what I was talking about before?
You remember I was telling you about the problems we were having with technical indicators? Well what finally dawned on us was that we were not taking enough notice of price action.
And so we started to study the chart before adding any indicators.
And suddenly we saw what was really happening. It was like looking at the car's wheels instead of its blinkers.
You see, technical indicators are just what they say they are - indicators. Not reality. Not price action.
But an interpretation of price. A filter.
And so you need to look at a stock's price chart on its own to get a picture of what is really going on.
This is not to say that technical indicators are not useful. But the critical thing is to only use them after you have analyzed price action. Not before.
Just remember - the wheels tell the truth!
The above comments are offered for educational purposes only. We are not providing you with financial advice. We are simply sharing with you what has and hasn't worked for us personally. If you wish to trade or invest in the stock market you should obtain advice from a registered licensed advisor.
David Chandler
http://www.stockmarketgenie.com
For your FREE Stock Market Trading Mini Course:
"What The Wall Street Hot Shots Won't Tell You!" go to: http://www.stockmarketgenie.com
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|


Going public in this manner is ideal for companies that... Read More
I submit that the successful day trader would profit well... Read More
Its only been about 5 years since we had major... Read More
Press releases are a means through which companies can keep... Read More
About 6 years ago I started to notice that certain... Read More
1. How to Treat Gap Openings A gap up or... Read More
One of the fundamental principles of finance is the concept... Read More
You are 55 years old (or somewhere around there) and... Read More
A SEP is a special type of IRA. Under a... Read More
How much are you willing to pay for a tank... Read More
Larry, Moe and Curley were sitting in their favorite restaurant... Read More
The following perspective on (day) trading comes from my many... Read More
If you're like many people, your retirement savings have not... Read More
Penny stocks and options are high volatility investments that attract... Read More
The communication innovations we have around us today like the... Read More
How to Collect Rare Coins For Fun and ProfitTime has... Read More
Setting Up a Paper Trading AccountQuestion: I cannot trade with... Read More
With so many financial advisors trying to woo you with... Read More
There are many reasons to be investing these days, and... Read More
This column has previously discussed "picturing the future that we... Read More
There is a cat fight brewing between Direcway LLC, Starband... Read More
"Through wisdom is a house built. And by understanding it... Read More
So you have learned how to trade the markets by... Read More
Do you ever wonder exactly what's going on in the... Read More
Everyone knows T Rex was the most fearsome of all... Read More
I recently received an e-mail from a young lady who... Read More
A strategic question. Why indeed?1. A penny share would usually... Read More
If you've decided to stock some money away in a... Read More
While it is rather rare that value gurus sell stocks... Read More
They call 'em ETFs.There are hundreds of them.The mutual funds... Read More
The Roth is kind of weird until you get used... Read More
The practice of economy, directed toward a retirement investment plan... Read More
Some time ago I attended a seminar where participants were... Read More


A Business Plan, as all good entrepreneurs starting out in... Read More
Options are good investing and speculative instruments. But options terminology... Read More
Arthur Levitt, during his tenure at the SEC, experienced many... Read More
Once upon a time, offshore investment strategies were spoken of... Read More
Online trading is so seductive - just sit, click, and... Read More
Tropical Storm Arlene formed as a tropical depression on June... Read More
In my opinion trading is the most exciting and best... Read More
With visions of an ATM in every neighborhood in China,... Read More
Many investors think that investing in mutual funds is free.... Read More
Going public in this manner is ideal for companies that... Read More
It always amazes me how much stock market investors resemble... Read More
Disgruntled investors are going after Wall Street once again, this... Read More
Over the course of the past two months, readers have... Read More
Those unfamiliar with the process of making and managing investments... Read More
Everyone knows that the Holy Grail of investing and trading... Read More
Do you rule your superannuation or does it rule you?It's... Read More
This column has previously discussed "picturing the future that we... Read More
A strategic question. Why indeed?1. A penny share would usually... Read More
The first point to mastering money management is that you... Read More
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence charts, or MACD charts for... Read More
1. Lacking an investment plan a/k/a/ "Don't take a trip... Read More
Upper Saddle River, N.J. - May 11, 2005 - Now... Read More
You know all the articles you read about annuities that... Read More
Every year I go to the Money Show in Orlando,... Read More
Q: My youngest son wants to borrow $5,000 to start... Read More
When we think of investing we probably conjure images in... Read More
The Value of Gold in a Era of Paper Assets,... Read More
The technology boom of the '90s romanticized the "rags-to-riches" ideal... Read More
In 1519, Hernando Cortes, beached on the shores of unexplored... Read More
You are 55 years old (or somewhere around there) and... Read More
One of the fundamental principles of finance is the concept... Read More
Of the 75 million baby boomers nearing retirement today, many... Read More
Computerized investing. Online investing. Have you taken the next step... Read More
Investing |